Somerset County Public Health Profile Report
Total Fertility Rate: Total Fertility Rate, 2017
Somerset1,569.1 95% Confidence Interval(1,550.8 - 1,587.4)Description of the Confidence IntervalThe confidence interval indicates the range of probable true values for the level of risk in the community.
A value of "NA" (Not Available) will appear if the confidence interval was not published with the NJSHAD indicator data for this measure.
Somerset Compared to State
Description of Gauge
Description of the GaugeThis graphic is based on the county data to the left. It compares the county value of this indicator to the state overall value.
The county value is considered statistically significantly different from the state value if the state value is outside the range of the county's 95% confidence interval. If the county's data or 95% confidence interval information is not available, a blank gauge image will be displayed with the message, "missing information."NOTE: The labels used on the gauge graphic are meant to describe the county's status in plain language. The placement of the gauge needle is based solely on the statistical difference between the county and state values. When selecting priority health issues to work on, a county should take into account additional factors such as how much improvement could be made, the U.S. value, the statistical stability of the county number, the severity of the health condition, and whether the difference is clinically significant.
- Excellent = The county's value on this indicator is BETTER than the state value, and the difference IS statistically significant.
- Watch = The county's value is BETTER than state value, but the difference IS NOT statistically significant.
- Improvement Needed = The county's value on this indicator is WORSE than the state value, but the difference IS NOT statistically significant.
- Reason for Concern = The county's value on this indicator is WORSE than the state value, and the difference IS statistically significant.
Why Is This Important?The total fertility rate can be interpreted as a measure of how many children ''would'' be born to 1,000 women over their childbearing years, based on birth rates occurring in the present time. As such, it indicates the current capacity for human reproduction in the population. Fertility is the ability to become pregnant and have a baby. Infertility occurs when a couple cannot become pregnant and may be related to a variety of health, behavioral, and/or environmental factors.
How Are We Doing?New Jersey's total fertility rate is 1,743 births per 1,000 women. This means that, based on today's birth rates, each woman would give birth to 2 children, on average, over her childbearing years. The rate among Hispanic women is nearly 2,000 births per 1,000 women while rates among White, Black, and Asian/Pacific Islander women lie in the 1,500-1,600 range. Over 70% of New Jersey's counties have total fertility rates below that of the state and the nation as a whole. Of the six counties with rates that are higher, Ocean County far exceeds all others with a rate (2,686.8) that is 1.4 times that of the second highest county, Passaic (1,960.1).
Data SourcesBirth Certificate Database, Office of Vital Statistics and Registry, New Jersey Department of Health National Center for Health Statistics and U.S. Census Bureau. Vintage 2017 bridged-race postcensal population estimates. [http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/bridged_race.htm] as of June 27, 2018.
Measure Description for Total Fertility Rate
Definition: The total fertility rate estimates the number of children a cohort of 1,000 women would bear if they went through their childbearing years experiencing the same age-specific birth rates occurring in a specified time period. It is calculated by summing the age-specific birth rates of women in five year age groups between 15 and 44 years, and then multiplying the sum by five.
Numerator: Sum of age-specific birth rates to resident mothers per 1,000 women
Denominator: Not applicable